At least he is not in jail. At least she finished high school. At least they are working. At least he is not on drugs. At least she is not on the streets. At least, at least, at least — the two most devastating words in the Black American vocabulary, repeated so often and with such conviction that they have become the unofficial motto of a community that once demanded the extraordinary from itself and now celebrates the merely adequate. Listen for them. You will hear them in living rooms and at kitchen tables, at graduations and family reunions, in churches and on phone calls, spoken always with the same exhausted relief, the same lowered shoulders, the same implicit confession that the bar has been placed on the ground and that stepping over it constitutes an achievement. And here is the question that no one wants to ask, because asking it sounds like cruelty when it is actually love: when did survival become the standard? When did a people who built Tuskegee out of nothing, who produced Langston Hughes and Zora Neale Hurston and Ralph Ellison under conditions that would have justified producing nothing at all, decide that not being incarcerated was cause for celebration?

This is not a question born of contempt. It is born of grief. It is the grief of watching a community that survived the Middle Passage, that survived chattel slavery, that survived Reconstruction and its betrayal, that survived Jim Crow and the lynch mob and the firehose — watching that community lower its expectations of itself to a point that the ancestors who endured those horrors would find unrecognizable. They did not endure so that their great-grandchildren could be congratulated for staying out of prison. They endured so that their great-grandchildren could be free. And freedom, as the elders understood it, was never the absence of chains. It was the presence of standards.

The Legitimate Origins of Survival Thinking

Before we can talk about where the survival mindset needs to go, we must honor where it came from, because its origins are not weakness. Its origins are the most extreme form of human resilience ever documented on this continent. During slavery, survival was the standard because survival was genuinely uncertain. An enslaved mother who kept her children alive, who kept them fed and clothed and spiritually intact under a system designed to break every human bond, was performing an act of heroism so profound that no word in the English language adequately describes it. “At least they are alive” was not a lowered standard. It was the highest standard available in a system that made death and separation the default.

During Jim Crow, survival thinking remained rational. A Black man who held a job, stayed out of the way of white violence, and brought his paycheck home was navigating a minefield every day of his life. The celebration of that navigation was not the celebration of mediocrity. It was the recognition of a genuine achievement — the achievement of remaining intact in a system designed to destroy you.

Steele, Claude M. "Whistling Vivaldi: How Stereotypes Affect Us and What We Can Do." W.W. Norton, 2010.

But here is the critical distinction: the survival standard was appropriate to conditions of active oppression. When those conditions changed — imperfectly, incompletely, but measurably — the standard was supposed to change with them. It did not. It calcified. What was once a rational response to existential threat became a permanent cultural posture, passed down from generation to generation, each one lowering the bar slightly further, each one confusing the survival that was once forced upon them with a standard that they are now choosing for themselves.

The Psychology of Low Expectations

Claude Steele, the social psychologist whose work on stereotype threat has become one of the most replicated findings in modern psychology, demonstrated something that should be required reading for every parent, teacher, and community leader in Black America: that the expectations a community holds for its members directly affect those members’ performance. When Black students were told that a test was diagnostic of their intellectual ability, they performed significantly worse than when they were told the same test was a non-diagnostic puzzle. The mere awareness of a negative stereotype about their group was sufficient to depress their performance by a measurable and significant margin.

Now extend this finding beyond the laboratory. What happens when an entire community — not a testing room, but a community, with its churches and its barbershops and its family gatherings and its cultural narratives — communicates the expectation that survival is the ceiling? What happens when the implicit message, transmitted through a thousand “at leasts” and a thousand lowered bars, is that the best a Black child can hope for is to avoid catastrophe? Steele’s research suggests the answer: performance falls to meet the expectation. Not because the capacity is absent, but because the standard is absent. Children do not rise to the level of their potential. They rise to the level of their community’s expectations.

“Children have never been very good at listening to their elders, but they have never failed to imitate them.”
— James Baldwin

John Ogbu, the late Berkeley anthropologist whose work on minority education was among the most controversial and important of the twentieth century, documented this phenomenon in his 2003 study of Black students in the affluent Cleveland suburb of Shaker Heights. Here were Black students with every material advantage — well-funded schools, educated parents, safe neighborhoods, access to every resource that the structural argument says Black children need. And yet they underperformed. They underperformed not because of poverty, not because of underfunded schools, not because of any of the structural factors that typically dominate the conversation about Black educational achievement. They underperformed, Ogbu argued, because of a “cultural frame of reference” that did not prioritize academic achievement with the same intensity as it prioritized other markers of identity.

Ogbu, John U. "Black American Students in an Affluent Suburb: A Study of Academic Disengagement." Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 2003.
“Children do not rise to the level of their potential. They rise to the level of their community’s expectations. And ‘at least he’s not in jail’ is not an expectation. It is a surrender.”

The Parenting Divide

Ellis Cose, in his 1993 study of middle-class Black professionals, documented something that reveals the survival mindset operating even in circumstances where survival is not at issue. He found that Black professionals — people with advanced degrees, six-figure incomes, homes in the suburbs — carried a “rage” rooted in the daily experience of racial slights and systemic barriers. This rage was real, and it was legitimate. But its effect on parenting was complex: some parents channeled it into demanding excellence from their children, while others channeled it into protecting their children from disappointment, which often meant lowering expectations preemptively.

Cose, Ellis. "The Rage of a Privileged Class: Why Do Prosperous Blacks Still Have the Blues?" HarperCollins, 1993.

The protective impulse is understandable. A Black parent who has been passed over for promotion, who has been followed in stores, who has been questioned about their credentials, who has experienced the full catalogue of racial indignities that American life reserves for its Black citizens, is naturally inclined to cushion their children against the same treatment. But the cushion, taken too far, becomes a cage. When the message shifts from “the world will be hard on you, so you must be excellent” to “the world will be hard on you, so do not expect too much,” the parent has inadvertently aligned with the oppressor. They have accepted the oppressor’s assessment of their child’s possibilities and transmitted it in the language of love.

Bill Cosby and Alvin Poussaint, in their 2007 book that generated enormous controversy precisely because it named what many people were thinking but no one would say publicly, argued that Black America had developed a culture of “victimhood” that, whatever its origins in real victimization, had become a self-reinforcing obstacle to achievement. They were excoriated for this argument — accused of blaming the victim, of ignoring structural factors, of providing ammunition to racists. The critique was partly fair; the argument was sometimes crudely stated. But the core observation — that a community’s internal standards matter, that expectations shape outcomes, that the celebration of survival can become the enemy of achievement — has been confirmed by every serious study of community-level performance ever conducted.

Cosby, Bill, and Alvin F. Poussaint. "Come On People: On the Path from Victims to Victors." Thomas Nelson, 2007.
Sponsored

How Strong Is Your Relationship Intelligence?

Science-backed assessment of your emotional and relational intelligence.

Take the REL-IQ Test →

Communities That Shifted from Survival to Standards

The argument that cultural expectations shape outcomes is not merely theoretical. It has been demonstrated, repeatedly, in communities that made the conscious decision to stop celebrating survival and start demanding excellence. The results are not ambiguous.

Marva Collins, a Chicago schoolteacher who in 1975 left the public school system and founded Westside Preparatory School with $5,000 of her own money, took children who had been labeled “learning disabled” by the public schools — children from the same South Side neighborhoods, the same economic conditions, the same family structures that produced the worst educational outcomes in the city — and taught them to read Shakespeare, Chaucer, Tolstoy, and Emerson by the third grade. She did not have more resources than the public schools. She had higher standards. She refused to accept survival as the benchmark. She told her students they were brilliant, and then she demanded that they prove it, and they did.

Ron Clark, whose academy in Atlanta serves primarily Black students from economically disadvantaged backgrounds, has produced similar results through similar methods: relentlessly high expectations, rigorous accountability, and the absolute refusal to accept “at least they showed up” as a measure of success. The Ron Clark Academy has sent students to the most competitive high schools and colleges in the country, not because it has a secret curriculum or a magic formula, but because it has a standard — and the standard is excellence, not survival.

The pattern is consistent across every case study: when a community, a school, a family, or an institution shifts its standard from survival to excellence, performance follows. The capacity was never absent. The expectation was absent. And the expectation was absent because survival thinking, legitimate in its origins, had become the default posture of a community that had forgotten how to demand more of itself.

The Accusation of Elitism

The pushback against this argument is predictable, because it has been rehearsed for decades: demanding standards is elitist. It is insensitive to the real barriers that Black people face. It blames the victim. It ignores structural factors. It provides comfort to racists who want to believe that Black people’s problems are their own fault.

Every one of these objections contains a grain of truth, and none of them constitutes a sufficient reason to continue lowering the bar. Yes, structural barriers are real. Yes, racism imposes costs that white Americans do not pay. Yes, the people who weaponize the standards argument to absolve the system of its responsibility are acting in bad faith. All of this is true. And none of it changes the fact that a community’s internal standards are the single most powerful predictor of that community’s outcomes, more powerful than school funding, more powerful than neighborhood resources, more powerful than any external factor that can be measured and manipulated.

The accusation of elitism is itself a symptom of the survival mindset. It assumes that excellence is a finite resource available only to the privileged few, rather than a standard available to anyone who accepts it. Marva Collins’ students were not elite. They were children from the South Side of Chicago who had been told by the public school system that they could not learn. The Ron Clark Academy’s students are not elite. They are children from economically disadvantaged backgrounds who have been told by an adult who believes in them that they will be extraordinary. The difference is not resources. The difference is expectations.

“The accusation that demanding excellence is elitist assumes that excellence is a privilege rather than a standard. It is not. It is available to anyone whose community expects it, supports it, and refuses to accept anything less.”

Raising the Bar

What does it look like, in practice, to shift from survival to standards? It looks like a family that says not “at least he graduated” but “what are you going to do with that degree?” It looks like a community that says not “at least she has a job” but “are you building something?” It looks like a culture that says not “at least he is not in jail” but “what kind of man are you becoming?”

It looks like parents who check homework every night, not because they do not trust the school — they should not trust the school, the data on that is clear — but because they are communicating, through the daily discipline of attention, that education matters more than entertainment. It looks like churches that run financial literacy programs alongside Bible study, that teach entrepreneurship alongside theology, that demand of their congregants the same discipline in their economic lives that they demand in their spiritual ones.

It looks like men who do not accept congratulations for doing what they are supposed to do. Being present for your children is not heroism. It is the minimum. Holding a job is not an achievement. It is the floor. Not being incarcerated is not a triumph. It is the baseline from which actual achievement begins. And a community that treats baselines as triumphs has confused the starting line with the finish line, and will remain, permanently, at the start.

The ancestors — the ones who built Tuskegee from red clay, who wrote the Harlem Renaissance into existence from tenement apartments, who organized the Montgomery Bus Boycott with mimeograph machines and shoe leather, who sent their children to face fire hoses in pressed white shirts because they understood that excellence was not merely a strategy but a declaration of humanity — those ancestors did not survive so that their descendants could celebrate survival. They survived so that survival would no longer be necessary. They paid the price of freedom so that their children could afford the price of excellence. And every “at least” that falls from our lips is a betrayal of what they purchased with their suffering.

The bar must be raised. Not because raising it is comfortable — it is not, and the people it demands the most of will resist it the most fiercely. But because the alternative — another generation trained to celebrate survival, another decade of “at least,” another cycle of lowered expectations producing lowered outcomes producing lowered expectations — is a future that the ancestors did not endure the past to make possible. We owe them more than survival. We owe them the excellence they died to make possible. And the time to pay that debt is not someday. It is now.

Sponsored

How Well Do You Really Know the Bible?

13 challenging games that test your biblical knowledge — from trivia to word search to timeline.

Play Bible Brilliant →